Thursday, November 21, 2024

Trump’s Surging Support Among Latino Voters Revealed by Recent Poll

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Shift in Latino Voter Support Raises Concerns for Democrats

Credit The Guardian

A recent poll by USA Today and Suffolk University has revealed a significant shift in Latino voter support, indicating that former US President Donald Trump is gaining ground while incumbent Joe Biden sees a decline. Trump now leads with 39% support among Latino voters, compared to Biden’s 34%, marking a substantial change since 2020 when Biden secured 65% of Latino voter approval.

This shift is part of a broader trend showing decreasing support for Biden across various demographic groups, including young voters. Trump now leads among voters under 35 with 37% support, a notable drop from Biden’s 24-point lead in 2020.

While Biden is losing support among these groups, the poll suggests that they are leaning toward third-party candidates rather than directly toward Trump. About 20% of Hispanic and Black voters surveyed, along with 21% of younger voters, expressed support for someone other than Trump or Biden.

A similar trend was noted in a CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted in December, where Trump’s hypothetical head-to-head matchup with Biden among Latino voters revealed a five-point lead for Trump, erasing Biden’s previous seven-point lead in October.

Historically, Trump tends to perform better with Latino voters during economic stress, raising concerns for Democrats about maintaining their hold on this crucial demographic. The decline in Biden’s overall performance among Latino voters, from 35% in October to 28% in December, further underscores the challenges Democrats may face.

Interestingly, Trump’s lead persists even as he embraces anti-immigrant rhetoric reminiscent of his 2016 campaign, including language with echoes of far-right dictators. Trump has outlined steps to reinforce strict immigration policies, such as redirecting federal law enforcement to immigration enforcement and deploying troops to the southern border. He also intends to reinstate and expand travel bans and establish detention camps for undocumented immigrants awaiting deportation.

As Democrats look ahead, these shifts in voter sentiment, particularly among the Latino demographic, present a potential obstacle and highlight the need for strategic considerations to maintain electoral support.

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