Oscar Nominations 2024 – Predictions and Breakdown
The Oscar nominations for 2024 were announced today at the Samuel Goldwyn Theater in Los Angeles, bringing fresh twists to some of the biggest film stories of 2023. Here’s a breakdown of our predictions:
Best Picture:
- American Fiction
- Anatomy of a Fall
- Barbie
- The Holdovers
- Killers of the Flower Moon
- Maestro
- Past Lives
- Poor Things
- Oppenheimer
- The Zone of Interest
The Producers Guild of America’s selection usually doesn’t align entirely with the Oscars, but this year, films like Anatomy of a Fall and The Zone of Interest from international offerings might have a stronger chance. Front-runners Oppenheimer and Barbie are expected to secure nominations, along with Killers of the Flower Moon, Poor Things, and American Fiction.
Best Director:
- Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
- Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
- Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
- Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
In a competitive year, directors like Christopher Nolan and Martin Scorsese are strong contenders. The predictability of this category is challenging, and surprise international choices may replace some popular American films. Greta Gerwig and Alexander Payne may face vulnerability in this category.
Best Actress:
- Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
- Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
- Carey Mulligan, Maestro
- Margot Robbie, Barbie
- Emma Stone, Poor Things
A tight competition this year, with potential snubs for Annette Bening and Greta Lee. Maestro and Barbie continue to show strength, making Mulligan and Robbie likely nominees.
Best Actor:
- Bradley Cooper, Maestro
- Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
- Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
- Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
- Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
A highly competitive category with Murphy and Giamatti as strong contenders. Leonardo DiCaprio’s strong campaign for his co-star Lily Gladstone might secure his nomination.
Best Supporting Actress:
- Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
- Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
- America Ferrera, Barbie
- Jodie Foster, Nyad
- Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
With several strong contenders, the fifth spot is uncertain. Ferrera’s performance in Barbie might benefit from the film’s blockbuster success.
Best Supporting Actor:
- Willem Dafoe, Poor Things
- Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
- Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
- Ryan Gosling, Barbie
- Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
The trend of two nominees from the same movie might continue, but Poor Things’ duo faces competition. Other possibilities include Charles Melton for May December or Sterling K. Brown for American Fiction.
Best Original Screenplay:
- Alex Convery, Air
- Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, Anatomy of a Fall
- David Hemingson, The Holdovers
- Samy Burch, May December
- Celine Song, Past Lives
Original screenplay predictions hint at potential surprises. Air might break into the list, and Anatomy of a Fall, The Holdovers, and Past Lives remain strong contenders.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
- Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach, Barbie
- Cord Jefferson, American Fiction
- Tony McNamara, Poor Things
- Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
- Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Adapted screenplay predictions include strong contenders from previous nominated screenwriters. Barbie remains a contender despite its original screenplay attempt.
Best International Feature:
- Fallen Leaves
- Perfect Days
- Society of the Snow
- The Taste of Things
- The Zone of Interest
A competitive category with The Zone of Interest and The Taste of Things as strong contenders. Fallen Leaves, Perfect Days, and Society of the Snow bring diversity to the race.
Best Animated Feature:
- The Boy and the Heron
- Elemental
- Nimona
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
Animation predictions include familiar names like Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse and a potential surprise in Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem.
Best Documentary Feature:
- American Symphony
- Beyond Utopia
- Four Daughters
- 20 Days in Mariupol
- Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
Documentary predictions highlight the front-runner American Symphony and other topical films like 20 Days in Mariupol.
Best Cinematography:
- Hoyte van Hoytema, Oppenheimer
- Matthew Libatique, Maestro
- Rodrigo Prieto, Killers of the Flower Moon
- Robbie Ryan, Poor Things
- Łukasz Żal, The Zone of Interest
Cinematography predictions include strong contenders from Oppenheimer, Maestro, Killers of the Flower Moon, Poor Things, and The Zone of Interest.
Best Editing:
- Nick Houy, Barbie
- Jennifer Lame, Oppenheimer
- Yorgos Mavropsaridis, Poor Things
- Thelma Schoonmaker, Killers of the Flower Moon
- Kevin Tent, The Holdovers
Editing predictions include strong contenders from best-picture nominees like Barbie, Oppenheimer, Poor Things, and Killers of the Flower Moon.
Best Costume Design:
- Barbie
- The Color Purple
- Killers of the Flower Moon
- Oppenheimer
- Poor Things
Costume design predictions emphasize opulent feminist epics like Barbie and Poor Things, along
with period pieces like The Color Purple and Killers of the Flower Moon.
Best Production Design:
- Barbie
- Dune
- Killers of the Flower Moon
- Oppenheimer
- Poor Things
Production design predictions feature visually striking films like Barbie, Dune, Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, and Poor Things.
The race for the Oscars is on, and as we eagerly await the final nominations on February 5, the surprises and snubs will undoubtedly keep the conversation buzzing in the world of cinema. Stay tuned!
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